This already refers semantically to the fictional character of probability and thus also of probability theory, because its premise of an equal probability of events is not to be found in reality, just as random draws (must) almost inevitably fail in reality. And yet, according to Esposito, learning can be done on the basis of probability: not, however, at the level of the future present, but rather at the level of the present future, i.e., the future as it presents itself in the present.
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ESPOSITO, Elena, 2007. Die Fiktion der wahrscheinlichen Realität. Frankfurt am Main: Suhrkamp. Edition Suhrkamp, 2485. ISBN 978-3-518-12485-7.